钦亮先生，
当你说你身边的人对于净选盟游行一事的看法，我觉得纳闷。
上街，是当所有管道都被封闭时，唯一可做的事
远如秦代张胜、陈广揭竿而起，到最近的＂茉莉花革命＂，都是在忍无可忍的情况下催生。倘若当权者愿意对话改进，旋风无论如何也刮不起。
而净选盟游行，不过是在没有其他选择的情形下的唯一选择。
先说净选盟的要求是不是过份：
简单地说，是要求一个公平的选举。
钦亮先生，不知此要求是否过份？
若要求不过份，但当权者却以种种理由推搪，甚至说道若选举有弊，在野党如何能在308取得好成绩？
不知钦亮先生是否认同当权者的说法？
而一个民间组织（后面我们再论是否它是一个超越政党，或是被政党操纵的组织）发起针对选举弊端而提出的要求，是不是过份，是不是骑劫民意？
民意到底是什么东东，钦亮先生应该明白，而净选盟是否代表全民之欲，就要看当天出来的多不多。
当然钦亮先生可能会说：才那几十万人，怎么能代表全民？
这里，就跟钦亮先生分享当年我在报馆时的一件事，恰恰就解释了民意到底是什么：
话说在一天的新闻会议上，提到有些读者对新闻的处理不满，而向报馆提出看法。当权者说：＂只是几个读者叫嚣找渣子，怎么能够代表所有读者？＂说毕，被提出的意见就此不见天日。
另一天，同样的新闻会议，秘书小姐报告说有一些读者来电赞扬说新闻处理得好。当权者这时换了副面孔：＂你们看，大家都说我们最好。＂
不知道钦亮先生是否经历类似事件？
所以说，民意，是看你如何解读，民调，也看你如何分析。
钦亮先生可能会说：沉默的大多数没表态，所以净选盟的诉求不是全民所欲，即不是全民所欲，就不能说有民意。
请问钦亮先生，我们的领导引以为荣的＂对抗英殖民政府成立马来亚联邦＂的运动阁下是否认同？
若认同，请问阁下是否能确定对抗英殖民政府是全民所欲？
当英殖民政府俯顺民意而将马来亚联邦改为马来亚联合邦时，所谓的民意是否是全民之欲？
孙文先生号召推翻满清政府，经历了无数次的尝试才成功。请问当年孙先生有没有要求全中国人公开表态是否支持推翻满清？
那么，自称争取到英殖民政府放弃权马来亚联邦的巫统，和一样没有任何证据显示孙先生的中华民国，因为没有全民民意为基础，而被钦亮先生归类为＂强奸民意＂？
净选盟争取的，不是推翻政府，而是要选举公平，因而达致政权和平轮替，如果现有执政党在来届大选丧失政权的话。
净选盟的诉求，关键在于诉求是否正确合理，而不是一昧的以全民所欲浑淆是非，而当权者的态度，也应该检验，而不是上街不合法、会导致骚乱等等借口。
再回头看你身边的人的反应，问问你自己，到底是谁发出恐吓？为何当局没迅速根据现有法律采取行动（虽然我不认同动用煽动法令或内安法令）？为何当局要妖魔化净选盟，一昧配合媒体抹黑净选盟？
若净选盟如当权者所说有隐议程、有黑手，或有国外特务撑腰，为何不马上采取行动以免形势恶化？然后迅速的控上法庭，让我们知道的确有其事。当然，人们相不相信司法这一环节就得看当局是否秉公处理。
最后，对于先生的最后一段文字，觉得先生的恐吓意味太重：当先生说不管在朝在野，若净选盟＂得逞＂的话，谁输了都不会甘心而会继续搞是非。
这段文字，恰恰就是当权者所要带出的讯息。
先生保重。
- Posted using BlogPress from my iPad
Wednesday, June 29, 2011
Wednesday, June 22, 2011
Thursday, June 16, 2011
你要自救，还是还在等着救世主？
读了一些FB贴文，说道“很多人”因为最近的事件，如旅游部的180万面子书网页，纷纷怒骂政府滥用公款，有感而发：
如果要求这些人走上街头，他们是否愿意？又或者说要他们在同一时间在各自家门前点起蜡烛，他们会不会做？
当权的就是因为我们不一定会诉诸于实际行动，才会毫无顾忌的横行。对他们来说，网上的反对声音充其量只会让当权者没面子，而不会因此而反省。
而我们是不是满足于羞辱当权者，但却没有意愿将他们撤换？我们是否愿意承担实际行动可能带来的负面后果？
当权者之所以敢如此横行，也是因为看准了我们不过是泥菩萨，纸老虎。所以他们最多让些步，说几句好听的话，之后又回到原点。
个人认为，非常不幸的是，我们自己一手造就了今天的局面，除了破口大骂，就没有更好的解决方案。
大家应该扪心自问：我们为我们自己做得够不够？还是我们其实都在等着救世主（从另一个角度来说，我们是不是在等着一个开荒牛、冤大头）？
不说拯救国家于水火之中，只说拯救自己免得将来自己受苦，我们愿不愿意？做不做？
Tourism Malaysia's online initiative fiasco
It was brought up by MP of the Opposition that Tourism ministry spent some RM1.8million on its online initiative, particularly on social media such as Facebook.
I have no idea what is the detailed plan going social media, and whether the amount is justifiable for such initiative, but I do know the government seems to be disconnected within itself, and does not orchestrate concrete strategy for whatever implementation.
Why I said the plan is not carefully thought out even without details on the plan itself?
First, we were told in a big fanfare way that the Prime Minister's department held a huge gathering of 1 million youth in Putrajaya. For this event alone, some RM27million spent.
Then we have Tourism Malaysia putting up Facebook pages, online games, etc to fuel domestic travel industry.
Knowing the youth formed the largest component in online demography, the government would have take the opportunity of the 1 million youth gathering to call every participant to join the tourism Malaysia's online initiative.
My limited experience thru interaction with a handful of younger generation revealed that most of them have around 500 to 1000 facebook friends from all over the world, exlcuding other social media services like Twitter etc.
This number is certainly impressive and it can make any online social media event an immediate success in terms of number if the government were to leverage on them.
Instead of the Prime Minister shouted emotionally during his speech to the 1 million youth to defend Putrajaya at all cost (it sounds more like a political campaign than a gathering supposedly helping the youth in various area of their interest, ie further study, job opportunity, etc)
The Prime Minister, if he ever care of the Nation as a whole, would have take the opportunity seeking concensus among the audience, and mobilizing them to start sharing out Tourism Malaysia's Facebook page for example.
Imagine 1 million people with average of 500 online friends, we are talking about a 500 million audience's channel for the price of RM27 million + RM1.8million, which means we spend less than RM0.60 per potential fans and get them heard of what we have to offer in this part of the world.
Of course the number may not be as large, it is certainly an impressive number to leverage on for a start to promote Malaysia worldwide.
Tourism Malaysia issued a press statement to counter accusation from the public for mis-appropriation of public fund by spending RM1.8million, claiming that their target by end of 2011 is 120,000 fans, which is equivalent to RM15 per fan.
By comparison, 1 million youth immediately vs struggling 24000+ as of now; 500 million almost immediate vs expected 120,000 by end of 2011; and RM0.60 vs RM15 per fan, which is favorable and well spent is without question.
That's why I said even they have weekly cabinet meetings, they have inter ministerial communications, they have all the alphabet soup from the top notch brains in the government, but they have never take national
Interest seriously as they claimed they do.
Worse, they operate as within themselves not knowing how to leverage on each others' strength.
They would have first ask me, perhaps the situation won't be as sticky as now :)
- Posted using BlogPress from my iPhone
I have no idea what is the detailed plan going social media, and whether the amount is justifiable for such initiative, but I do know the government seems to be disconnected within itself, and does not orchestrate concrete strategy for whatever implementation.
Why I said the plan is not carefully thought out even without details on the plan itself?
First, we were told in a big fanfare way that the Prime Minister's department held a huge gathering of 1 million youth in Putrajaya. For this event alone, some RM27million spent.
Then we have Tourism Malaysia putting up Facebook pages, online games, etc to fuel domestic travel industry.
Knowing the youth formed the largest component in online demography, the government would have take the opportunity of the 1 million youth gathering to call every participant to join the tourism Malaysia's online initiative.
My limited experience thru interaction with a handful of younger generation revealed that most of them have around 500 to 1000 facebook friends from all over the world, exlcuding other social media services like Twitter etc.
This number is certainly impressive and it can make any online social media event an immediate success in terms of number if the government were to leverage on them.
Instead of the Prime Minister shouted emotionally during his speech to the 1 million youth to defend Putrajaya at all cost (it sounds more like a political campaign than a gathering supposedly helping the youth in various area of their interest, ie further study, job opportunity, etc)
The Prime Minister, if he ever care of the Nation as a whole, would have take the opportunity seeking concensus among the audience, and mobilizing them to start sharing out Tourism Malaysia's Facebook page for example.
Imagine 1 million people with average of 500 online friends, we are talking about a 500 million audience's channel for the price of RM27 million + RM1.8million, which means we spend less than RM0.60 per potential fans and get them heard of what we have to offer in this part of the world.
Of course the number may not be as large, it is certainly an impressive number to leverage on for a start to promote Malaysia worldwide.
Tourism Malaysia issued a press statement to counter accusation from the public for mis-appropriation of public fund by spending RM1.8million, claiming that their target by end of 2011 is 120,000 fans, which is equivalent to RM15 per fan.
By comparison, 1 million youth immediately vs struggling 24000+ as of now; 500 million almost immediate vs expected 120,000 by end of 2011; and RM0.60 vs RM15 per fan, which is favorable and well spent is without question.
That's why I said even they have weekly cabinet meetings, they have inter ministerial communications, they have all the alphabet soup from the top notch brains in the government, but they have never take national
Interest seriously as they claimed they do.
Worse, they operate as within themselves not knowing how to leverage on each others' strength.
They would have first ask me, perhaps the situation won't be as sticky as now :)
- Posted using BlogPress from my iPhone
Sunday, June 12, 2011
What are you waiting for?
Both Selangor and Penang PR Administrations have declared that they will not dissolve respective state assemblies simultaneously should BN dissolved Parliament for fresh election.
The explanation given was that PR state administration wanted to finished it's task before facing the election, and it is a strategy adopted by PR state governments to focus on Federal level, then dissolve the state assemblies after the Parliamentary election is over.
I figured that PR is not ready to open 2 battle fronts at the same time, given significantly less resources PR has in hand compare to the ruling regime.
Another consideration may be perhaps that PR has not get enough registered voters to secure they chances of wining, hence, instead of losing all at one go, they would expect that if the result is favorable to PR on federal level, it is natural that the states will still be in their hands.
Personally I do not think this is the best way to attack, fighting an uphill battle requires creative strategy than stick to what they have been using in the past, and only given then inch of advancement, but losing out more.
In short, this is not the best way to defense.
In my humble opinion, given sentiments on price hikes, abuse of power, corruption that have hit BN badly in the recent days, PR should be bold enough to seek for mandate before BN gets itself ready.
Why?
Whenever approaching election, it is customary within UMNO, if not BN as a whole, to fight for candidacy. The level of negotiations and power struggling within the ruling regime is intensified and often beyond imagination, of which PKR should know far better than other PR partners.
If the internal fighting cannot be resolved, either by way of compensation or suppression, Najib will not call for fresh election given the fact those who are not chosen to be candidate will sure to sabotage in one way or another if compensation is not agreed upon by other means. This is too dangerous for Najib to dissolve the Parliament even the result is favorable to BN, Najib will subsequently face music within UMNO, which can lead him to Timbaktu.
On the other side, PR is facing similar problem, but lesser scale as it involves state assemblies within their control, there are less problem to solve for PR as compare to BN.
So, when your enemy is trying to sort itself and forming the best strategy to win the war, I see no reason why PR just sit idle waiting for it's opponent to get ready and it is certainly far superior in terms of resources, if not quality of candidates themselves.
If PR wanted to win the war, and win Putrajaya, it cannot allow Najib to have the leisure of time to sort out internal issues, and prepared, then dance with Najib's music.
PR must be brave enough to take over the control on deciding when should be the election, and it should be far ahead instead of letting the opponent to have ammunition ready to fight.
PR must force Najib to decide whether the Federal to follow the state's decision, i.e.
If Najib have to rush to make sure that elections to be held simultaneously, he will not be able to please every warlords within UMNO, since election needs money, and these warlords need to find ways to get enough to fight the war, and time is not with them, it can be very frustrated experience, that ultimately leads to Najib's downfall if BN cannot perform well;
If Najib is not following for as settlement is not done within BN, how will BN face the smaller scale war to contest in the upcoming state elections, given that most of the PR held seats are in the expense of BN, how will BN field it's candidates even just for the state election will be a big headache especially this will disrupt Najib's plan of getting his line up properly without interference.
If you want to win the war, you must dictate the terms, and leave your opponent no choice but to follow you. But if you are forced to dance with your opponent's music, your days are numbered.
Thus, whoever strike first, will win the war, not just the 2 or 4 states, but Putrajaya.
- Posted using BlogPress from my iPad
The explanation given was that PR state administration wanted to finished it's task before facing the election, and it is a strategy adopted by PR state governments to focus on Federal level, then dissolve the state assemblies after the Parliamentary election is over.
I figured that PR is not ready to open 2 battle fronts at the same time, given significantly less resources PR has in hand compare to the ruling regime.
Another consideration may be perhaps that PR has not get enough registered voters to secure they chances of wining, hence, instead of losing all at one go, they would expect that if the result is favorable to PR on federal level, it is natural that the states will still be in their hands.
Personally I do not think this is the best way to attack, fighting an uphill battle requires creative strategy than stick to what they have been using in the past, and only given then inch of advancement, but losing out more.
In short, this is not the best way to defense.
In my humble opinion, given sentiments on price hikes, abuse of power, corruption that have hit BN badly in the recent days, PR should be bold enough to seek for mandate before BN gets itself ready.
Why?
Whenever approaching election, it is customary within UMNO, if not BN as a whole, to fight for candidacy. The level of negotiations and power struggling within the ruling regime is intensified and often beyond imagination, of which PKR should know far better than other PR partners.
If the internal fighting cannot be resolved, either by way of compensation or suppression, Najib will not call for fresh election given the fact those who are not chosen to be candidate will sure to sabotage in one way or another if compensation is not agreed upon by other means. This is too dangerous for Najib to dissolve the Parliament even the result is favorable to BN, Najib will subsequently face music within UMNO, which can lead him to Timbaktu.
On the other side, PR is facing similar problem, but lesser scale as it involves state assemblies within their control, there are less problem to solve for PR as compare to BN.
So, when your enemy is trying to sort itself and forming the best strategy to win the war, I see no reason why PR just sit idle waiting for it's opponent to get ready and it is certainly far superior in terms of resources, if not quality of candidates themselves.
If PR wanted to win the war, and win Putrajaya, it cannot allow Najib to have the leisure of time to sort out internal issues, and prepared, then dance with Najib's music.
PR must be brave enough to take over the control on deciding when should be the election, and it should be far ahead instead of letting the opponent to have ammunition ready to fight.
PR must force Najib to decide whether the Federal to follow the state's decision, i.e.
If Najib have to rush to make sure that elections to be held simultaneously, he will not be able to please every warlords within UMNO, since election needs money, and these warlords need to find ways to get enough to fight the war, and time is not with them, it can be very frustrated experience, that ultimately leads to Najib's downfall if BN cannot perform well;
If Najib is not following for as settlement is not done within BN, how will BN face the smaller scale war to contest in the upcoming state elections, given that most of the PR held seats are in the expense of BN, how will BN field it's candidates even just for the state election will be a big headache especially this will disrupt Najib's plan of getting his line up properly without interference.
If you want to win the war, you must dictate the terms, and leave your opponent no choice but to follow you. But if you are forced to dance with your opponent's music, your days are numbered.
Thus, whoever strike first, will win the war, not just the 2 or 4 states, but Putrajaya.
- Posted using BlogPress from my iPad
Saturday, June 11, 2011
Downgrading iPad2 from iOS 5 beta 1 back to iOS 4.3.3
I like features in iOS 5 and can't wait to grab a copy from Apple Developer's site to have it installed both on my iPad 2 and iPhone 4.
It looks good, most of the new features are exactly what I have been waiting for, and all these features work as advertised.
But wait, there are some apps previously working well on iOS 4.3.3 are now exhibiting strange behavior, some apps can't even work at all.
Apps that I rely most are Numbers, Keynote, and Pages. While Pages works, Numbers and Keynote are not working.
It is very strange given Numbers and Keynote are both from Apple, and have just received updates a few days before iOS 5 beta 1 released.
In order to keep my iPad 2 going, I have to resort to downgrading the firmware back to iOS 4.3.3, at least until the newer beta out and problem solved.
I followed the steps here, except that I did not uninstall my iTunes 10.5 and put back iTunes 10.3 as mentioned. Let's see if it works.
Cross my finger
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